Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.884107 4.163112 4.461238 4.805035 5.192507 5.617997 6.123764
2025-07-06 3.380544 3.756172 4.181690 4.705100 5.339704 6.095237 7.080268
2025-07-13 3.113068 3.541029 4.044996 4.693120 5.521372 6.569596 8.041293
2025-07-20 2.958056 3.429586 4.002933 4.768725 5.793658 7.165361 9.233368
2025-07-27 2.855426 3.366188 4.005041 4.888052 6.121930 7.864994 10.689957
2025-08-03 2.731843 3.262859 3.942098 4.907333 6.305324 8.374168 11.952702
2025-08-10 2.603369 3.142135 3.843873 4.864076 6.386840 8.732688 13.035482
2025-08-17 2.459003 2.990629 3.692322 4.729903 6.314294 8.832223 13.673200
2025-08-24 2.350398 2.880221 3.588839 4.654703 6.320638 9.055555 14.587391
2025-08-31 2.295046 2.838104 3.576152 4.709800 6.533981 9.655752 16.410949
2025-09-07 2.228154 2.776053 3.530600 4.710108 6.655705 10.108364 18.053652
2025-09-14 2.120683 2.652544 3.390135 4.553951 6.499472 10.021464 18.413677
2025-09-21 2.030256 2.553081 3.285107 4.455128 6.447789 10.158381 19.460415
2025-09-28 1.948299 2.462764 3.189813 4.366661 6.408344 10.320252 20.661654
2025-10-05 1.893922 2.409112 3.145464 4.356007 6.505006 10.774492 22.882033
2025-10-12 1.863805 2.388687 3.149165 4.423198 6.750188 11.591142 26.673815
2025-10-19 1.845115 2.383674 3.175378 4.529102 7.080485 12.673922 32.218587
2025-10-26 1.806640 2.347540 3.151168 4.546197 7.238289 13.385098 37.009633
2025-11-02 1.758132 2.294429 3.097588 4.507837 7.279084 13.811911 40.988944
2025-11-09 1.694705 2.216720 3.001793 4.388706 7.140773 13.742458 42.470532
2025-11-16 1.646138 2.159956 2.937187 4.321838 7.106887 13.953842 45.775129
2025-11-23 1.624814 2.143753 2.936783 4.370837 7.326380 14.928264 55.117888
2025-11-30 1.594608 2.112807 2.910957 4.371110 7.438758 15.622578 64.055329